Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 70.550462 79.493226 88.672807 98.768414 109.528878 120.625899 132.905822
2025-02-16 56.207600 68.915480 82.586921 98.259684 115.606264 134.103928 155.207756
2025-02-23 48.231226 63.047035 79.547246 99.021292 121.127287 145.214839 173.224493
2025-03-02 41.673151 57.836287 76.414695 98.908779 124.997445 153.936114 188.107278
2025-03-09 36.821748 54.017929 74.357691 99.540854 129.286603 162.773946 202.813400
2025-03-16 31.896152 49.584663 71.128355 98.398414 131.181076 168.606473 213.876060
2025-03-23 28.959014 47.349004 70.313415 99.918271 136.017321 177.687794 228.550604
2025-03-30 26.548937 45.556994 69.856697 101.711229 141.051524 186.909458 243.326844
2025-04-06 23.413955 42.499628 67.560194 101.027245 142.935496 192.300643 253.541917
2025-04-13 20.028303 38.776122 64.143338 98.710565 142.639384 194.954675 260.418521
2025-04-20 19.102133 38.505364 65.247262 102.129833 149.408282 206.071019 277.326716
2025-04-27 17.809630 37.569326 65.364156 104.204339 154.455621 215.087728 291.733154
2025-05-04 15.546180 34.974918 63.089277 103.078042 155.456602 219.216283 300.363532
2025-05-11 13.541789 32.590181 60.963501 102.035933 156.482533 223.324040 308.943367
2025-05-18 12.278673 31.291536 60.300161 102.892257 159.892957 230.336959 321.023957
2025-05-25 10.881556 29.615304 58.978646 102.765692 161.968518 235.653853 331.016857
2025-06-01 9.810590 28.398615 58.261415 103.414222 165.015167 242.158630 342.453972
2025-06-08 8.433131 26.449693 56.313431 102.244817 165.594847 245.516412 349.989660
2025-06-15 7.766117 25.786340 56.309965 103.800224 169.776854 253.417578 363.141615
2025-06-22 7.209406 25.280257 56.517358 105.634796 174.322727 261.782925 376.883631
2025-06-29 6.229174 23.765441 55.019739 104.934970 175.408284 265.708755 385.089701
2025-07-06 5.076995 21.678140 52.453091 102.564311 174.145172 266.565778 389.418791
2025-07-13 4.959706 21.951537 53.837431 106.063076 180.925019 277.800354 406.782484